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  • Bitcoin is currently stabilizing around the $93,300 support line, facing resistance at $101,641 and $106,272.
  • On-chain indicators present mixed results, yet the NVT and NVM ratios point towards a robust network value.

The MVRV Pricing Bands highlight $93,300 as a vital support zone, which will play a significant role in determining Bitcoin’s [BTC] next trajectory. As of now, BTC is trading at $97,410.38, showing a slight increase of 0.01%.

Should this support hold, Bitcoin may advance further; however, a drop below could result in additional losses. Can BTC sustain its bullish trend, or is a considerable correction looming?

Key Support and Resistance Levels

Bitcoin’s price is currently navigating a symmetrical triangle, a pattern often followed by a breakout. The support level is positioned at $95,702, with significant resistance points at $101,641 and $106,272.

A breakout past these resistances could propel BTC towards $108,000 or even higher. Conversely, falling below the ascending trendline may necessitate a reassessment around $93,300 or potentially lower.

Moreover, Bitcoin is exhibiting a higher low pattern, which frequently indicates strengthening bullish momentum. Volume will remain a crucial factor for confirmation of this trend.

A notable increase in trading volume could signal a strong breakout, while low volume may suggest continued consolidation before any significant movement occurs.


BTC price action analysis
BTC price action analysis

Source: TradingView

Bitcoin Address Activity: A Measure of Strength or Weakness?

Recent on-chain data indicates a decrease in new, active, and zero-balance addresses, with declines of -3.92%, -1.74%, and -4.56%, respectively, over the past week.

This decrease may point towards a cooling-off period in network activity. Nonetheless, it doesn’t necessarily reflect a bearish outlook, as such pullbacks often precede significant price shifts.

Historically, Bitcoin’s price rallies have often followed phases of stagnation in address growth, as accumulation frequently occurs prior to the influx of new users.

If there’s a resurgence in new addresses, Bitcoin could see a fresh wave of capital inflow.


BTC active addresses
BTC active addresses

Source: IntoTheBlock

Bitcoin Transaction Data: A Slowdown or a Setup?

The latest transaction data shows an ambiguous perspective, with large transfers exceeding $10 million decreasing by -63.01%, while medium-sized transactions ranging from $100,000 to $1 million fell by -43.36%.

Smaller transactions under $1,000 also experienced notable reductions, further emphasizing the declining activity.

However, the drop in whale transactions might signify a stabilization period before the next significant price shift. Traditionally, such slowdowns have indicated either a robust accumulation phase or a brief retracement.




Source: IntoTheBlock

NVT and NVM Ratios: Are We Reaching Overvaluation?

The Network Value to Transactions (NVT) ratio has surged by +20.4%, indicating that Bitcoin’s market capitalization is increasing at a faster rate than its transaction volume.

This rise could suggest overvaluation, hinting at a potential correction if trading volume does not see an uptick.

Yet, it may also signify growing investor confidence, positioning Bitcoin for a sustainable upward trend. Additionally, the NVM ratio, which assesses Bitcoin’s value based on network activity, has experienced a +35.09% increase.

This metric indicates that despite current price stabilization, Bitcoin’s network value remains resilient.



Source: CryptoQuant

In conclusion, the technical chart patterns alongside on-chain metrics indicate that $93,300 stands as a pivotal support level for Bitcoin.

If BTC can maintain its position above this threshold, the market may encounter additional upside, especially if there is an uptick in buying activity.

However, the downturn in address activity and transactions raises potential concerns, suggesting that a breakdown remains feasible. Consequently, Bitcoin’s trajectory will likely depend on volume dynamics and market momentum.

Should BTC surpass $101,641, it could ignite a bullish rally.

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